Europe’s vaccine hesitancy

COVID-19

Europe’s vaccine hesitancy

Major European countries are facing a third wave of coronavirus deaths and infections as the EU and individual member states come under fire for slow vaccination rollouts, trailing countries like Britain and the United States.

Share of population given at least one dose of a coronavirus vaccine as of March 29, 2021

UK

45%

US

28%

EU

11%

“We didn’t shoot for the stars,” French President Emmanuel Macron said on March 24. “That should be a lesson for all of us. We were wrong to lack ambition, to lack the madness, I would say, to say: ‘It’s possible, let’s do it’.”

EU behind on vaccine deals

On May 1 the UK secured a contract with AstraZeneca for enough doses to give everyone in Britain one dose and nearly half the population a second.

One dose purchased for each

person in the country or EU

May 2020

UK

19 days later the US struck a deal with AstraZeneca.

US

Vaccine deal

105 days after Britain’s first deal, the EU finalised a contract in mid-August with AstraZeneca.

EU

Jan 2021

On May 1 the UK secured a contract with AstraZeneca for enough doses to give everyone in Britain one dose and nearly half the population a second.

One dose purchased for each

person in the country or EU

UK

US

19 days later the US struck a deal with AstraZeneca for 300 million doses.

EU

105 days after Britain’s first deal, the EU finalised a contract in mid-August with AstraZeneca.

Vaccine deal

May 2020

Jan 2021

On May 1 the UK secured a contract with AstraZeneca for enough doses to give

everyone in Britain one dose and nearly half the population a second.

One dose purchased for each

person in the country or EU

UK

US

EU

19 days later the US struck a deal with AstraZeneca.

105 days after Britain’s first deal, the EU finalised a contract in mid-August with AstraZeneca.

Vaccine deal

May 2020

Jan 2021

On May 1 the UK secured a contract with AstraZeneca for enough doses to give everyone in Britain one dose and nearly half the population a second.

One dose for the entire population

May 2020

UK

19 days later the US struck a deal with AstraZeneca.

US

Vaccine deal

105 days after Britain’s first deal, the EU finalised a contract in mid-August with AstraZeneca.

EU

Jan 2021

The European Commission secured its first vaccine contract 105 days after former EU member Britain. It approved its first vaccine 19 days after Britain.

The slow rollout has been compounded by delays, fears about safety, tension over deliveries, including recent disputes with Britain over exports of the AstraZeneca vaccine. Many Europeans are sceptical about vaccines anyway.

EU officials told Reuters product liability was among contentious points in European efforts to secure supply deals for potential vaccines from Pfizer, Johnson & Johnson and Sanofi, whose COVID-19 vaccine development has been delayed.

Pricing was another possible sticking point but Sandra Gallina, director-general for health at the European Commission, denied that the Commission had prioritised price over making sure it secured vaccines.

Population that can be vaccinated with the doses purchased, based on the publicly reported deals with companies until March 2021

Percentage of population

400%

UK 457 million

300

Chile 88.4 million

EU 1.8 billion

US 1.2 billion

200

Israel 28 million

100

0

May

2020

Jan

2021

Percentage of population

400%

UK 457 million

300

Chile 88.4 million

EU 1.8 billion

US 1.2 billion

200

Israel 28 million

100

0

May 2020

Jan 2021

Percentage of population

400%

UK 457 million

300

Chile 88.4 million

EU 1.8 billion

US 1.2 billion

200

Israel 28 million

100

0

May

2020

Jan

2021

Note: The chart shows cumulative doses ordered every month since May 2020. It does not show exact dates of orders or when countries received or expect to receive vaccine deliveries. Percentage of population figures take into consideration that some vaccines require two doses and some just one dose.

With eight additional vaccine deals, the EU has made up for lost ground and secured 1.84 billion doses that have the potential to cover 227% of the bloc’s population, according to the Duke Global Health Innovation Center’s Launch and Scale Speedometer.

The United States has the potential coverage of 200% of its population, but the UK has one of the highest coverage rates with vaccine deals able to cover 364% of the population.

EU slow to approve

May 1, 2020 first vaccine ordered

UK

May 2020

US

EU

Pfizer

EU approves Pfizer vaccine

on Dec. 21, 19 days after the U.K. was the first to approve the vaccine

Pfizer

Moderna

AstraZeneca

Moderna

Jan. 6

Moderna

Jan 2021

AstraZeneca

Jan. 29

Johnson & Johnson

Johnson & Johnson

March 11

Pfizer

AstraZeneca

UK

Moderna

US

Pfizer

Moderna

Johnson & Johnson

First vaccine

ordered May 1

EU

EU approves Pfizer vaccine

on Dec. 21, 19 days after the U.K. was the first to approve the vaccine

Moderna

Jan. 6

AstraZeneca

Jan. 29

Johnson & Johnson

March 11

May 2020

Jan 2021

Pfizer

AstraZeneca

UK

Moderna

US

Pfizer

Moderna

Johnson & Johnson

First vaccine

ordered May 1

EU

EU approves Pfizer vaccine

on Dec. 21, 19 days after the U.K. was the first to approve the vaccine

Moderna

Jan. 6

AstraZeneca

Jan. 29

Johnson & Johnson

March 11

May 2020

Jan 2021

May 1, 2020 first vaccine ordered

UK

May 2020

US

EU

EU approves Pfizer vaccine

on Dec. 21, 19 days after the U.K. was the first to approve the vaccine

Pfizer

Pfizer

Moderna

AstraZeneca

Moderna

Jan. 6

Moderna

Jan 2021

AstraZeneca

Jan. 29

Johnson & Johnson

Johnson & Johnson

March 11

The European Commission said in early March that it was considering emergency approvals for vaccines as a faster alternative to more rigorous conditional marketing authorisations which have been used so far.

Any change of tack would come after Eastern European countries, including Hungary, Slovakia and the Czech Republic, approved Russian and Chinese vaccines with national emergency procedures.

Britain also used its emergency procedure to approve COVID-19 vaccines.

European countries struggle to administer

May 1, 2020 first vaccine ordered

UK

May 2020

US

EU

Dec 08

Dec 14

38 days

Vaccination program begins

Dec 27

40 days

Jan 2021

63 days

5% of population inoculated

Vaccination

program begins

5% of population

inoculated

UK

38 days

Dec 08

US

40 days

Dec 14

May 1, 2020

first vaccine ordered

EU

63 days

Dec 27

May 2020

Jan 2021

Vaccination program begins

5% of population inoculated

38 days

UK

Dec 08

US

40 days

Dec 14

May 1, 2020

First vaccine ordered

EU

63 days

Dec 27

May 2020

Jan 2021

May 1, 2020 first vaccine ordered

UK

May 2020

US

EU

Dec 08

Dec 14

38 days

Vaccination

program

begins

Dec 27

40 days

Jan 2021

63 days

5% of

population

inoculated

The EU hammered out prices and orders of doses, but it is the responsibility of individual member countries to work with the pharmaceutical companies to deliver vaccines and carry out their own inoculation strategies.

Overall the vaccine development programme have been slow across the EU — 63 days to give 5% of the population its first dose after the vaccinations began at the end of December. The UK and the U.S. reached a 5% vaccination rate 38 and 40 days after the first shot, respectively.

38 days after the first British inoculation, UK vaccinates 5% of the population on Jan 15

40 days after the first American inoculation, US vaccinates 5% of the population on Jan. 23

5% vaccinated in Malta

FEBRUARY

Denmark

Spain

63 days after the first European inoculation, EU vaccinates 5% of the population

Germany, Italy

MARCH

France, Czech Republic

Luxembourg

Croatia

Latvia

Bulgaria

38 days after the first British inoculation, UK vaccinates 5% of the population on Jan 15

40 days after the first American inoculation, US vaccinates 5% of the population on Jan. 23

5% vaccinated in Malta

FEBRUARY

Denmark

Spain

63 days after the first European inoculation, EU vaccinates 5% of the population

Germany, Italy

MARCH

France, Czech Republic

Luxembourg

Croatia

Latvia

Bulgaria

With infection rates rising, governments are under pressure to speed up inoculations. Still, some are succeeding at getting shots into their residents’ arms faster than others.

Malta, with the highest vaccination rate in Europe at 29% on March 28, is expected to achieve herd immunity for the island nation’s half a million population by mid-summer, according to Health Minister Chris Fearne.

Vaccination rates have also soared in Hungary after its drug regulator approved Russia’s Sputnik V for use. Since the EU does not have a procurement deal with the Russian vaccine, member states like Hungary and Slovakia can pursue their own contracts.

“We have absolutely no need of Sputnik V,” Internal Market Commissioner Thierry Breton, who heads the EU executive’s vaccine task force, told TF1 television on March 21.

But in the last week Austria signalled it, too, was in talks to purchase a million doses of the Russian-made vaccine, while Macron and German Chancellor Angela Merkel discussed possible cooperation on vaccines with Russian President Vladimir Putin in a joint video conference on Tuesday.

Malta’s vaccine program has consistently outpaced the EU average.

 

As of March 27, the small island nation had given at least 1 vaccine dose to 28.6% of its people, which is 18 percentage points over the bloc.

Percentage of population given

at least one dose of vaccine

Malta

30%

20

EU

10

0

Jan 2021

In February, Hungary started using Russia’s Sputnik V and China’s Sinopharm vaccines at a point when 5% of the population had been vaccinated.

 

Five weeks later, nearly one-fifth of the country’s population was vaccinated with at least one dose.

Percentage of population given

at least one dose of vaccine

Hungary

20%

EU

Hungary starts using Sinopharm vaccine

10

Hungary starts using Sputnik V

0

Jan 2021

Bulgaria’s vaccination rate has been consistently slower than that of the bloc.

 

Only about 73,500 people have been vaccinated in the the past two weeks.

Percentage of population given

at least one dose of vaccine

15%

EU

10

Bulgaria

5

0

Jan 2021

Malta’s vaccine program has consistently outpaced the EU average.

As of March 27, the small island nation had given at least 1 vaccine dose to 28.6% of its people, which is 18 percentage points over the bloc.

In February, Hungary started using Russia’s Sputnik V and China’s Sinopharm vaccines at a point when 5% of the population had been vaccinated.

 

Five weeks later, nearly one-fifth of the country’s population was vaccinated with at least one dose.

Percentage of population given

at least one dose of vaccine

Bulgaria’s vaccination rate has been consistently slower than that of the bloc.

Only about 73,500 people have been vaccinated in the past two weeks.

Malta

30%

25

Percentage of population given

at least one dose of vaccine

Hungary

20

20%

Percentage of population given

at least one dose of vaccine

15%

15

15

Hungary starts using Sinopharm vaccine

EU

EU

EU

10

10

10

Hungary starts using Sputnik V

Bulgaria

5

5

5

0

0

0

Jan 2021

Jan 2021

Jan 2021

Malta’s vaccine program has consistently outpaced the EU average.

 

As of March 27, the small island nation had given at least 1 vaccine dose to 28.6% of its people, which is 18 percentage points over the bloc.

Percentage of population given

at least one dose of vaccine

Malta

30%

20

EU

10

0

Jan 2021

In February, Hungary started using Russia’s Sputnik V and China’s Sinopharm vaccines at a point when 5% of the population had been vaccinated.

 

Five weeks later, nearly one-fifth of the country’s population was vaccinated with at least one dose.

Percentage of population given

at least one dose of vaccine

Hungary

20%

Hungary starts using

Sinopharm vaccine

EU

10

Hungary starts

using Sputnik V

0

Jan 2021

Bulgaria’s vaccination rate has been consistently slower than that of the bloc.

 

Only about 73,500 people have been vaccinated in the the past two weeks.

Percentage of population given

at least one dose of vaccine

15%

EU

10

Bulgaria

5

0

Jan 2021

EU-negotiated vaccines should be distributed based on countries’ populations, but deliveries do not seem to be proceeding evenly.

Germany, Europe’s largest country by population, has received enough doses of vaccines to give one shot to 21% of its population. By contrast, Bulgaria, with less than a tenth of Germany’s population, has only gotten enough vaccines to give one shot to 10% of its population.

Vaccine hesitancy lingers

Many Europeans are sceptical about the speed at which the vaccines were tested and approved, and recent concerns over the AstraZeneca vaccine have added to the doubts.

Percentage of population willing to take the vaccine

100%

UK

Spain

Germany

US

50

France

0

Nov 2020

Jan 2021

Percentage of population

willing to take the vaccine

Nearly 90% of Britons surveyed said they are willing to take the vaccine.

100%

Spain

Germany

US

50

Only half the French population would get the vaccine or already have. That’s double the sentiment in mid December which grew after the EMA approved the Pfizer vaccine.

0

Nov 2020

Jan 2021

Percentage of population

willing to take the vaccine

In the UK where the vaccine program has been a turning point for the pandemic, nearly 90% of Britons surveyed said they are willing to take the vaccine.

100%

Spain

Germany

US

50

Only half the French population would get the vaccine or already have. That’s double the sentiment in mid December which grew after the EMA approved the Pfizer vaccine.

0

Nov 2020

Jan 2021

Percentage of population willing

to take the vaccine

100%

UK

Spain

Germany

US

50

France

0

Nov 2020

Jan 2021

At least 13 European countries hit pause on AstraZeneca shots, which accounted for 23% of doses delivered to EU countries at the end of March, after a small number of people who got the shots reported side-effects involving blood clots.

The polling firm YouGov said it had already found in late February that Europeans were more hesitant about the AstraZeneca vaccine than they were about those from Pfizer and Moderna, and that the clot concerns had further damaged public perceptions.

AstraZeneca says its vaccine is safe and effective, citing extensive trial data. Millions of doses have been safely administered in Europe and the EU regulator and World Health Organization both said the benefits outweighed the risks.

A week after many European countries resumed the use of the AstraZeneca vaccine, EU leaders voiced frustration over a massive shortfall in contracted deliveries of doses and vaccinations continued to lag. And on Wednesday, Germany announced it would restrict use of the AstraZeneca vaccine to people aged 60 and above as well as high-priority groups.

Sources

Our World in Data; Duke University’s Global Health Innovation Center; European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control; YouGov; Reuters

By

Michael Ovaska and Prasanta Kumar Dutta

Edited by

Jon McClure, Nick Macfie