2022

French Elections

On April 24, France went to the polls to pick its next president. Incumbent Emmanuel Macron comfortably defeated far-right rival Marine Le Pen in a rematch of the 2017 election.

2022

Macron Le Pen

2017

2022

Macron -
Le Pen -

2017

Macron -
Le Pen -

Round One Results

Round One Results
Emmanuel Macron
headshot of Emmanuel Macron
Marine Le Pen
headshot of Marine Le Pen
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
headshot of Jean-Luc Mélenchon
Éric Zemmour
headshot of Éric Zemmour
Valérie Pécresse
headshot of Valérie Pécresse

Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen qualified for a runoff in a first round of voting on April 10, in which Le Pen came in only slightly ahead of hard-left firebrand Jean-Luc Mélenchon, making support from his voters key to winning the second round. While Le Pen sought to tap into voters’ frustration with high inflation eroding their living standards, Macron presented himself as a safe pair of hands and painted his nationalist opponent as a danger to democracy and economic stability.

The run for office by Éric Zemmour, a writer and talk show star, fragmented the vote on the right and ate into Marine Le Pen and Valérie Pécresse’s support base. A moderate among conservative ranks, Valérie Pécresse struggled to present policies that would mark a clean break with Emmanuel Macron’s agenda. Meanwhile, Jean-Luc Mélenchon saw a bounce following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the withdrawal of another leftist from the race.



By

Richard Lough, Leigh Thomas

Design and Development

Dea Bankova

Edited by

Jon McClure, Alexandra Hudson

Sources

Polling data from NSPPolls
Election results data from Ministry of the Interior France

Methodology

Our poll aggregate for candidates is estimated using local polynomial regression, which is a method we can use to fit a curve through individual poll points.

The margin of error for individual polls is estimated from the poll’s sample size and the number of eligible French voters at the time of the last Presidential Election.

For each poll, a pollster may ask respondents to select a candidate from one or more lists of options which might not include all candidates. Whenever this is the case, we select the list containing the largest number of candidates who are currently running.