On April 24, France went to the polls to pick its next president. Incumbent Emmanuel Macron comfortably defeated far-right rival Marine Le Pen in a rematch of the 2017 election.
2022
French Elections
2022
2017
2022
2017
Round One Results
Emmanuel Macron and Marine Le Pen qualified for a runoff in a first round of voting on April 10, in which Le Pen came in only slightly ahead of hard-left firebrand Jean-Luc Mélenchon, making support from his voters key to winning the second round. While Le Pen sought to tap into voters’ frustration with high inflation eroding their living standards, Macron presented himself as a safe pair of hands and painted his nationalist opponent as a danger to democracy and economic stability.
The run for office by Éric Zemmour, a writer and talk show star, fragmented the vote on the right and ate into Marine Le Pen and Valérie Pécresse’s support base. A moderate among conservative ranks, Valérie Pécresse struggled to present policies that would mark a clean break with Emmanuel Macron’s agenda. Meanwhile, Jean-Luc Mélenchon saw a bounce following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the withdrawal of another leftist from the race.
By
Richard Lough, Leigh Thomas
Design and Development
Dea Bankova
Edited by
Jon McClure, Alexandra Hudson
Sources
Polling data from NSPPolls
Election results data from Ministry of the Interior France
Methodology
Our poll aggregate for candidates is estimated using local polynomial regression, which is a method we can use to fit a curve through individual poll points.
The margin of error for individual polls is estimated from the poll’s sample size and the number of eligible French voters at the time of the last Presidential Election.
For each poll, a pollster may ask respondents to select a candidate from one or more lists of options which might not include all candidates. Whenever this is the case, we select the list containing the largest number of candidates who are currently running.